TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 2:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between CSKA Sofia and Monaco, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent, measured by specific goal differences. The result is determined solely by the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the CSKA Sofia vs Monaco Conference League match scheduled for October 15, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: CSKA Sofia winning by more than 2.5 goals, CSKA Sofia winning by more than 1.5 goals, Monaco winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Monaco winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the CSKA Sofia vs Monaco match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a contract that pays out if a specific outcome happens.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the CSKA Sofia vs Monaco match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match, including any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures. The market will determine which outcome—CSKA Sofia winning by a certain margin, or Monaco winning—is the correct one based on the final score. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either CSKA Sofia or Monaco would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations about the CSKA Sofia vs Monaco match.