TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
CSKA Sofia competes against Monaco in a Conference League encounter where the winner is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result will be a clear win for one team or an even tie after the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on the result of the CSKA Sofia vs Monaco professional Conference League soccer game scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If CSKA Sofia wins, the 'CSKA Sofia' market resolves to Yes. If Monaco wins, the 'Monaco' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, but it's important to consider that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different outcomes in the CSKA Sofia vs Monaco match. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus on that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. The goal is to find contracts that you believe are mispriced, either undervalued or overvalued, and profit from the convergence of the market price towards the true probability.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the CSKA Sofia vs Monaco match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly following the match’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also contribute to shifts in the market’s assessment of the match’s likely outcome.