TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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CSKA Moscow vs. Uralmash
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CSKA Moscow vs. Uralmash?

Volume:
$92,727

CSKA Moscow

 - Kalshi

CSKA Moscow - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 2:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

CSKA Moscow

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,224
N/A
N/A
$19,192
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CSKA Moscow vs. Uralmash

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,292
N/A
N/A
$26,296
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a VTB United League basketball game between CSKA Moscow and Uralmash. The markets ask whether CSKA Moscow or Uralmash will win the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi frames both possible outcomes as resolving to 'Yes', while Polymarket uses distinct labels for each team's win.Hero tip: Focus on the actual game result (CSKA Moscow or Uralmash winning) and ignore the 'Yes/No' framing on Kalshi. The core question is the same, but the resolution labels differ.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves to 'CSKA Moscow' if they win, and 'Uralmash' if Uralmash wins. "If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if CSKA Moscow wins, and 'Yes' if Uralmash wins. The question is framed as whether CSKA Moscow wins, but both outcomes resolve to 'Yes'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming VTB United League game, scheduled for October 7 at 12:30PM ET: If the CSKA Moscow win, the market will resolve to "CSKA Moscow". If the Uralmash win, the market will resolve to "Uralmash". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

If CSKA Moscow wins the BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg vs CSKA Moscow men's professional Russia VTB United basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg wins the BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg vs CSKA Moscow men's professional Russia VTB United basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the CSKA Moscow vs. Uralmash match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $92,727, with $75,556 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants. The current market indicates a strong expectation for one outcome, though opinions may vary between the two platforms. This page provides a unified view of the market, combining data from both venues to give a comprehensive overview of expectations.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a more well-rounded view of the likely result of the CSKA Moscow vs. Uralmash match.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information advantages, leading to differing opinions. Trading volume also plays a role; a larger volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market mechanics and fee structures of Polymarket and Kalshi can influence price formation. These differences contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both are attempting to predict the same event outcome.