TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 6:15 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for October 15 at 11:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for October 15 at 11:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market is driven by the willingness of individuals to buy or sell based on their own research and insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. Observing these differences can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately assess the probabilities and profit from any mispricing. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guatemalan soccer match between CSD Xelajú MC and CD Malacateco. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available and trusted sources. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews, expert analyses, and even weather conditions leading up to the game could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment could drive price movements. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves in the days leading up to the match.