TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 2:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for Thursday, October 15, 2026 between CSD Suchitepéquez and Deportivo San Pedro.
This event is for the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for Thursday, October 15, 2026 between CSD Suchitepéquez and Deportivo San Pedro.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of a particular result. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares are bought and sold, adjusting the price based on supply and demand. The price of a share represents the implied probability of the outcome being predicted. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders analyze various factors – team form, player injuries, historical data – to determine whether the current price accurately reflects the likelihood of the event. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing creates a constantly evolving assessment of the match’s potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the CSD Suchitepéquez versus Deportivo San Pedro match will be used to determine the winning share(s). Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result of the game, as determined by the official source.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CSD Suchitepéquez or Deportivo San Pedro would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-game tactical announcements from the managers, might also impact the implied probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning will likely move the market.