TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:08 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for October 11 at 7:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for October 11 at 7:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the prediction market odds may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. This can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. The market's efficiency relies on active trading and a diverse range of opinions, leading to a dynamically adjusted probability assessment of the Guatemalan football match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guatemalan football match between CSD Municipal and CD Marquense. The platform will verify the result against trusted sports news sources and official league standings to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective.
Several factors could influence this market before the Oct 11, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, pre-game polls, and even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. A surprising result in a related match involving either team might also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the price of shares within this market.