TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CSD Municipal and CD Marquense, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CSD Municipal vs. CD Marquense match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CSD Municipal and CD Marquense, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CSD Municipal vs. CD Marquense match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each exact score. As more shares are traded for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their chosen outcome eventuates. This dynamic pricing model aims to converge towards the true probability of each possible result in the CSD Municipal vs. CD Marquense match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the CSD Municipal vs. CD Marquense match, as determined by official league sources, will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and traders who correctly predicted the exact score will receive their payout based on the final share price at resolution. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable data to ensure fairness and transparency.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either CSD Municipal or CD Marquense could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to the Oct 11, 2026 resolution of this market.