TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
CSD Municipal
- Polymarket
CSD Municipal - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:17h:55m
$
In the upcoming match between CSD Municipal and Aurora FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSD Municipal" if CSD Municipal are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aurora FC" if Aurora FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CSD Municipal and Aurora FC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSD Municipal" if CSD Municipal are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aurora FC" if Aurora FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and expert analysis, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd and can adjust rapidly to new information or changing sentiment. It’s a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated opinions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each scenario. This differs from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the CSD Municipal vs. Aurora FC match. The platform will verify the result against official match data to determine the winning outcome. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either CSD Municipal or Aurora FC would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Any changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or analysts could sway opinions. Finally, even unexpected weather conditions on match day could introduce uncertainty and affect the market price, as these factors all contribute to assessing the probability of either team scoring first.