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$154.4b

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$230,589,906

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2,984,028,936

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$1,885,293,300

410,482

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40,213

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4,340

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5

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VS.

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63%

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CSD Independiente del Valle vs. LDU Quito
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of CSD Independiente del Valle vs. LDU Quito?

Volume:
$286,279

Ind. del Valle

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ind. del Valle

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$162,070
N/A
N/A
$78,077
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CSD Independiente del Valle

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,062
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

LDU Quito

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,026
N/A
N/A
$46,624
Settled
No
polymarket

LDU Quito

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,833
N/A
N/A
$27,060
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CSD Independiente del Valle vs. LDU Quito)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a LigaPro Primera A soccer match between CSD Independiente del Valle and LDU Quito, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets resolve based on which team wins or if the game ends in a draw, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers separate win/draw/tie markets with differing abandonment rules, while Kalshi offers markets for each team to win or a tie.Hero tip: Consider the differing abandonment rules when trading. Polymarket's win markets are more vulnerable to 'No' resolution in case of cancellation/abandonment, while the draw market is more likely to resolve 'Yes'.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers separate markets for Independiente del Valle win, draw, and LDU Quito win. If the game is canceled, does not start, or is abandoned, win markets resolve to 'No', while the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: Offers markets for each team to win *or* a tie. All markets resolve to 'Yes' if their respective outcome occurs. Abandonment rules are consistent across all markets, resolving to 'Yes' for the tie market and 'No' for win markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between CSD Independiente del Valle and LDU Quito, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Ind. del Valle vs LDU Quito professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Ind. del Valle market occurs if Ind. del Valle wins in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for LDU Quito occurs if they win in regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect any market outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining both sources provides a more well-rounded view of the likely outcome of the Independiente del Valle vs LDU Quito match.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Independiente del Valle vs LDU Quito match can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity, with one platform having significantly more volume than the other, can also create price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing interpretations of available information or varying levels of risk aversion among traders on each platform can lead to distinct probabilities being assigned to the same outcomes. These factors contribute to the observed differences in pricing.