TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:10 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for October 25 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Liga Nacional Guatemala game, scheduled for October 25 at 3:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual bettors. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the prediction market odds will shift accordingly. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where you can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook, capitalizing on the differing probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand; if more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guatemalan football match between CSD Cobán Imperial and CD Marquense, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity itself can move the market, as large trades signal strong conviction in a particular outcome. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.