TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Barracas Central
Volume:
$393,271
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CS Independiente Rivadavia and CA Barracas Central scheduled for March 11, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three-outcome market structure contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes are specified to resolve Yes, making simultaneous resolution impossible. Additionally, Polymarket and Kalshi have conflicting cancellation protocols—Polymarket's draw resolves Yes on cancellation while wins resolve No, whereas Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets until the specification is clarified—the three-outcome Yes resolution is logically impossible. On Polymarket, the draw market is asymmetrically protected on cancellation (resolves Yes), while win markets are not (resolve No). If game postponement or cancellation is a material risk, the draw market offers hidden value. Monitor AFA.com.ar for scheduling updates.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate markets, each covering one outcome (Tie, Rivadavia win, Barracas win), all specified to resolve Yes. No cancellation clause provided. Logical contradiction: exactly one outcome occurs in any completed game, yet all three are marked Yes. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Rivadavia wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Barracas wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets (Barracas win, Rivadavia win, draw). Win markets resolve No on cancellation with no make-up game; draw market resolves Yes on cancellation. Explicit postponement clause: market remains open until game completion. Key Quote (Draw): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.' Key Quote (Wins): 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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