TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Argentinos Juniors
Volume:
$102,936
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between CS Independiente Rivadavia and AA Argentinos Juniors.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets collectively cover all possible outcomes (Rivadavia win, Argentinos win, or tie) and each resolves to Yes, creating a logical contradiction where the market group cannot fail to resolve Yes regardless of the actual match result. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive binary outcomes that properly partition the sample space. This fundamental structural difference makes Kalshi's market group unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group — they contain a logical error that guarantees all three resolve Yes simultaneously, which is impossible for a single match. Polymarket's three binary markets (Rivadavia win, Argentinos win, draw) are properly structured and mutually exclusive. Trade only on Polymarket if you want a coherent market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three separate markets where each resolves Yes if its respective outcome occurs (Rivadavia wins OR Argentinos wins OR tie), meaning all three markets will resolve Yes regardless of the actual match result. This creates a logical impossibility — the market group cannot fail. Key quote: 'If Rivadavia wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Argentinos Juniors wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with proper market structure: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Will Rivadavia win? Will Argentinos win? Will it end in a draw?) where exactly one resolves Yes and the other two resolve No, depending on the actual match outcome. Key quote: 'If CS Independiente Rivadavia wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' — applied separately to each outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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