TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:56 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between CS Emelec and Leones Futbol Club, originally scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between CS Emelec and Leones Futbol Club, originally scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the result. As such, the implied probabilities from Polymarket may differ from sportsbook lines, potentially reflecting a more accurate assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Currently, the market indicates a strong expectation for Leones Futbol Club to win, as evidenced by the price of shares representing that outcome. The higher the price, the greater the perceived chance of success.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Emelec vs. Leones match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could impact market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting changing perceptions of the likely outcome of the Emelec vs. Leones match.