TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 8:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between CS Emelec and Guayaquil City FC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CS Emelec vs. Guayaquil City FC match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between CS Emelec and Guayaquil City FC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CS Emelec vs. Guayaquil City FC match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each exact score. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the influence of market participants. If you believe the crowd’s assessment differs from sportsbook expectations, this market presents an opportunity to capitalize on those perceived mispricings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective probability of that score occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and its implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome based on the wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official exact score of the CS Emelec vs. Guayaquil City FC match will be used to determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on the score reported by official sources and widely accepted as the definitive result of the game. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities within this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of different exact scores. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports commentators, shifts in public opinion, and even early game events, such as a red card or a penalty, could all trigger movement in the market. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.