TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.9b

24H VOL:

$97,289,543

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,351,258,445

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,136,690,245

316,541

Markets across

31,143

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,418

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Time left: 06d:04h:31m

CS Cienciano to win the second half?

99%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks which team will score more goals in the second half of the upcoming Peru Liga 1 match between CS Cienciano and Cusco FC. The aggregated consensus probability for a second-half draw stands at 99.0%, drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. Watch for the match conclusion on August 31, 2026, as this will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets resolve based on entirely different events: Kalshi resolves based on a CONMEBOL Sudamericana tournament advancement, while Polymarket resolves based on the second half result of a Peru Liga 1 match.Hero tip: Do not treat these markets as correlated. Kalshi's market refers to a different competition entirely. Only trade Polymarket markets for the CS Cienciano vs Cusco FC second half outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves based on whether Botafogo or Cienciano advance in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Round Of 16: If either team advances, the market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the second half result of the CS Cienciano vs Cusco FC match in the Peru Liga 1: Cienciano win, draw, or Cusco FC win in the second half.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CS Cienciano and Cusco FC, scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CS Cienciano" if CS Cienciano score more goals than Cusco FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CS Cienciano and Cusco FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Cusco FC" if Cusco FC score more goals than CS Cienciano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 48 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event determines which team advances from the Botafogo vs Cienciano match in the Round of 16 of the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. If Botafogo progresses—whether by winning in regular time, extra time, or winning a penalty shootout—the Botafogo advances market resolves to Yes, and the Cienciano advances market resolves to No. Conversely, if Cienciano progresses under the same conditions, the Cienciano advances market resolves to Yes, and the Botafogo advances market resolves to No. All references to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are strictly descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with Kalshi or any official soccer governing body.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Cienciano vs. Cusco second half market aggregates real-time probabilities and volume across platforms, showing how traders view the likely result of the second half. It tracks consensus and divergence in expectations, with updates reflecting new information from team performance, injuries, or tactical changes. This view lets participants see where Polymarket and Kalshi users stand, and how trading volume of $1,130,177 supports each possible outcome.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the second half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after 45 minutes of play determines the settlement, and any official match records or reputable sports news sources will be used to validate the result. No internal platform mechanisms dictate the closing — it follows the real-world event’s conclusion and subsequent public confirmation.

Injuries, tactical changes, or momentum swings during the first half can dramatically shift expectations for the second half. Key moments like red cards, early goals, or coaching decisions often trigger rapid reassessments. Media narratives and crowd reactions also influence trader sentiment. If Polymarket and Kalshi show growing disparity in volume or price action, that may signal an impending shift in consensus before the final whistle.