TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CS Cienciano vs. Academia Puerto Cabello
Volume:
$210,321
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Thursday, April 16, 2026 between CS Cienciano and Academia Puerto Cabello.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome markets (Cienciano win, Academia Puerto Cabello win, Tie) resolve to YES independently, violating mutual exclusivity. This creates a logical contradiction where multiple markets can resolve YES simultaneously for a single match outcome.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi markets for this event. The resolution logic is fundamentally broken—it allows all three outcome markets to resolve YES at the same time, which is impossible for a single match. Polymarket's mutually exclusive structure (one winner, one draw, one loser outcome) is the only coherent framework here.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Cienciano wins resolves YES only if Cienciano wins, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in draw, NO otherwise; (3) Academia Puerto Cabello wins resolves YES only if Academia Puerto Cabello wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES per match outcome. Quote: 'If CS Cienciano wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Three independent outcome markets with identical resolution logic: each market resolves YES if its named outcome occurs. However, the structure creates logical impossibility—all three markets are defined to resolve YES based on the same match result, violating mutual exclusivity. Quote: 'If Cienciano wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Academia Puerto Cabello wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means a single match outcome triggers YES on multiple markets simultaneously.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.