TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:07 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored during a professional soccer match between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, reflecting expectations about the match's offensive intensity. It provides insight into anticipated scoring patterns without influencing the actual gameplay.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for total goals scored in the Crystal Palace versus Nottingham Forest English Premier League match scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—is assessed based solely on the number of goals scored during the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets resolve based on the official match result as recorded by the governing league, with Kalshi emphasizing it holds no official affiliation with the league or its associated entities. Trademarks and branding remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a particular goal total is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of contracts representing that outcome will decrease, effectively offering better odds than those found at a sportsbook. It’s a useful comparison point for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome – in this case, whether over or under a certain number of goals will be scored. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine whether the total goals scored fall above or below the thresholds defined within the contracts offered on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Crystal Palace or Nottingham Forest would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect the market. Even pre-match team lineups and tactical announcements can shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information regarding team form or motivation could move this market before the Oct 11, 2026 resolution.