TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?

Volume:
$70,044

Newcastle wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Newcastle wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 12:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Newcastle wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,299
N/A
N/A
$20,765
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Newcastle wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,500
N/A
N/A
$14,640
Settled
No
kalshi

Crystal Palace wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,672
N/A
N/A
$4,536
Settled
No
kalshi

Crystal Palace wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,140
N/A
N/A
$2,928
Settled
No
kalshi

Newcastle wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$433
N/A
N/A
$433
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Crystal Palace and Newcastle, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Crystal Palace or Newcastle wins the match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Crystal Palace winning by more than 2.5 goals, Crystal Palace winning by more than 1.5 goals, Newcastle winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Newcastle winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met for the respective team, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The resolution occurs after the full 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. All outcomes are independent, meaning each market resolves separately based on its specific threshold. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Crystal Palace vs Newcastle match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $66,817, and the total volume is $70,044. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likely result of the game and allows you to understand market sentiment.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It’s common to see this market incorporate information not yet fully reflected in sportsbook lines, and vice versa, making both valuable for informed decision-making.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and lower demand pushing them down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Crystal Palace vs Newcastle match, as reported by official sources. The final score and any relevant game statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Crystal Palace or Newcastle could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, could also shift market sentiment. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or even broader trends in team performance, could also contribute to price movements in this market.