TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:17h:19m
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This event group concerns the outcome of a single professional English Premier League (EPL) soccer game between Crystal Palace and Liverpool, scheduled for November 8, 2026. The markets ask whether Crystal Palace, Liverpool, or a draw will be the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The market resolves based on the full-time result of the Crystal Palace vs Liverpool English Premier League match scheduled for November 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective 'Crystal Palace', 'Liverpool', or 'Tie' market if that team wins, loses, or the match ends level within regular time. Outcomes are not affected by extra time, penalty kicks, or post-match events. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's procedures. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market refers to the Premier League match between Crystal Palace (CRY) and Liverpool (LIV), scheduled for 2026-11-08 14:00 UTC. - CRY: If Crystal Palace wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - LIV: If Liverpool wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both CRY and LIV options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Premier League. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Opinion, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s odds reflect what participants believe will happen, creating a potentially more accurate signal, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbooks have limits on bet sizes, whereas prediction markets can sometimes accommodate larger wagers, impacting price discovery. The volume of $3,127 suggests robust participation in this market.
Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Kalshi and Opinion can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Furthermore, the trading interfaces and fee structures on Kalshi and Opinion can influence trading behavior. Currently, Kalshi currently favors Liverpool wins at 59, while Opinion leans toward Draw. These differences in user composition and platform mechanics contribute to the observed price variations in this market, even though both are attempting to forecast the same event.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Crystal Palace vs Liverpool match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the final score from official sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle. It’s important to note that the outcome is based on the official match result, not any subjective interpretation.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 8, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Crystal Palace or Liverpool would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to key players, such as a sudden illness, could also move the market. Monitoring sports news and team updates is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.