TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 0.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:20h:15m
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This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Crystal Palace and Hoffenheim. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match is part of the Europa League and follows standard soccer timing rules.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim Europa League match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market defines a different threshold, with resolution set to 'Yes' if the cumulative goals surpass that threshold. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the league or its governing bodies, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the price of contracts in this market will adjust, potentially converging with or diverging from sportsbook odds depending on how that information is interpreted by traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if many traders believe over 1.5 goals will be scored, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim match will be the determining factor. If more than 1.5 goals are scored, contracts predicting 'over 1.5 goals' will pay out. Conversely, if 1.5 goals or fewer are scored, contracts predicting 'under 1.5 goals' will pay out. The final result will be sourced from official match data and widely available sports news outlets.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Crystal Palace or Hoffenheim would likely cause significant movement. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as a shift in formation or a focus on attacking or defensive play, could also impact expectations. Even weather conditions on match day – particularly rain or wind – could affect the likelihood of goals being scored, prompting traders to adjust their positions in this market.