TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:19h:38m
$
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Europa League soccer match between Crystal Palace and Hoffenheim. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can bet on whether either team will win or if the game will end in a tie based on this specific timeframe.
The market resolves based on the result of the Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim professional Europa League soccer match originally scheduled for November 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Crystal Palace wins within this timeframe, the 'Crystal Palace' market resolves to Yes. If Hoffenheim wins within the same timeframe, the 'Hoffenheim' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly considers the result within regular time plus stoppage time, with no consideration for outcomes determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows participants to freely trade based on their own analysis and information. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional sportsbooks, leading to different probabilities for the same event. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share of the potential payout if their predicted outcome happens. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market is constantly updating its forecast based on available information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Crystal Palace, a win for Hoffenheim, or a draw—actually occurred during the scheduled match. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market and the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or changes in coaching strategies, would likely cause price fluctuations. Also, significant public discussion or analysis from sports commentators could impact the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly influence trading behavior.