TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Crystal Palace and Chelsea FC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Crystal Palace" if Crystal Palace are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Crystal Palace and Chelsea FC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Crystal Palace" if Crystal Palace are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chelsea FC" if Chelsea FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, allows traders to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of either Crystal Palace or Chelsea scoring first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion among bettors and prediction market participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time estimate of which team is favored to score first in the Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea match. The current implied probability of either team scoring first is visible on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – Crystal Palace or Chelsea – scores the first goal in the match. The result will be based on the official match records and verified against credible public sources. The platform will then finalize the settlement of the market based on this confirmed outcome, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Crystal Palace or Chelsea would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role, as traders react to any information that alters their assessment of each team’s likelihood of scoring first.