TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an English Womens Super League soccer match between Crystal Palace and Chelsea. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will resolve based on whether Crystal Palace wins, Chelsea wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Crystal Palace versus Chelsea professional English Womens Super League soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team resolves the respective market to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or attempt to balance their risk, while this market represents a more aggregated assessment of probabilities. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate than traditional point spreads or moneyline odds. However, sportsbook odds can be useful for identifying potential value discrepancies when compared to the current pricing in this market. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Chelsea vs Crystal Palace match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic representation of collective belief. The platform uses a margin system, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event’s outcome and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Chelsea vs Crystal Palace match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities. The platform will then determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Chelsea or Crystal Palace would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Team form, recent match results, and tactical changes announced by the managers could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match media coverage influencing public perception, could contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.