TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns the halftime result of a Premier League match between Crystal Palace FC and Newcastle United FC. Markets exist for each team winning at halftime, or for a draw. Resolution depends on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Crystal Palace FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Crystal Palace FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds, such as those displayed on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to a more dynamic and potentially accurate assessment of probabilities. This market’s implied probabilities may diverge from those offered by sportsbooks due to differing information sets and incentives. Prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting, while sportsbooks prioritize profit margins, potentially leading to discrepancies in odds.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle halftime market can differ due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading volume, and risk appetite, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for trading and market making on each platform—such as fee structures and liquidity provision—can contribute to price discrepancies. Differences in the information available to traders on each platform, or varying interpretations of that information, can also lead to divergent pricing. The current volume on each platform, $21,736, also plays a role in price stability.