TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the exact final score of a Premier League football (soccer) match between Crystal Palace FC and Newcastle United FC. The market considers only the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Crystal Palace FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Crystal Palace FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for the Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle match, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors. This can differ from sportsbook odds, which may be influenced by factors like house bias or limitations in setting lines. Sportsbooks typically focus on implied probability based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. Often, prediction markets are more accurate at forecasting event outcomes, though discrepancies can occur due to differing market dynamics and participant motivations.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle match can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution differ between Polymarket and Predict, influencing how quickly prices react to new information. These differences contribute to the observed price discrepancies, offering opportunities for arbitrage across the two markets.