TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.8b

24H VOL:

$125,946,575

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,317,581,230

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,176,824,706

331,810

Markets across

32,587

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,017

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Description

This event group covers the Premier League soccer match between Crystal Palace FC and Manchester City FC scheduled for August 28, 2026. Markets across various platforms resolve based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of wins and draws. The only divergence is in Limitless's draw market resolution for canceled matches without a makeup game.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the Premier League or event organizers

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties
  • Wins resolve positively for respective team win markets and negatively for opposing markets
  • Draws resolve positively for draw markets and negatively for all win markets
  • Postponements keep markets open until completion
  • Cancellations without a makeup game resolve negatively for all win markets, with draw markets resolving positively on Polymarket and Predict, and also positively on Limitless

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancellation without makeup game: All win markets resolve No. Draw markets resolve Yes on Polymarket, Predict, and Limitless.
  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed.
Timing: Resolution occurs based on official statistics published by the Premier League or event organizers, with credible reporting used if statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Friday, August 28, 2026 between Crystal Palace FC and Manchester City FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Crystal Palace vs Manchester City professional EPL soccer game scheduled for August 28, 2026. If Crystal Palace wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Crystal Palace' market resolves to Yes. If Manchester City wins under the same conditions, the 'Manchester City' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Friday, August 28, 2026 between Crystal Palace FC and Manchester City FC.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for August 28, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Opinion

This market refers to the Premier League match between Crystal Palace (CRY) and Manchester City (MCI), scheduled for 2026-08-28 19:00 UTC. - CRY: If Crystal Palace wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MCI: If Manchester City wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both CRY and MCI options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Premier League. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.premierleague.com/

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City match market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities and volume across platforms. It tracks how traders on different prediction markets price the likelihood of various match outcomes, offering a consensus view of market sentiment. The display includes current chances for top outcomes and total volume of $1,609 to help users gauge interest and momentum in this market.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. On platforms aggregating this market, trader sentiment incorporates factors beyond simple win/loss probabilities, such as recent form and injury news, which can create price gaps. For example, prediction markets might price 2.0 points differently than sportsbooks, depending on how participants weigh recent performance data and public sentiment.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct user bases and may apply different fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often leads to price discrepancies, especially for events like this market where sentiment shifts quickly. For instance, Polymarket currently favors Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? at 68.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Crystal Palace vs Manchester City Winner? at 70.0%, reflecting differing trader sentiment or liquidity conditions.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official match conclusion, and all platforms will update to reflect the same final score or winner at that time.

Injuries, lineup changes, and referee announcements can all shift this market as the match approaches. Key moments such as pre-game press conferences or weather updates may also influence trader sentiment, causing probabilities to adjust on platforms tracking this market. Any last-minute team news is likely to create noticeable movement in the run-up to Aug 29, 2026.