TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 0.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:17h:44m
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This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Crvena Zvezda and IC Escaldes. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams during the regulated match time.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Crvena Zvezda and IC Escaldes in their Conference League match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from more than 0.5 goals up to more than 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market’s prices are driven by actual money being wagered. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs should be considered when comparing to external odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether over 2.5 goals will be scored in the Crvena Zvezda vs IC Escaldes match. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the collective forecast. The current price indicates the market's expectation of the total goals scored.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Crvena Zvezda vs IC Escaldes match will be used to determine if over 2.5 goals were scored. Any official data source reporting the match result will be considered. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Crvena Zvezda or IC Escaldes would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style or scoring opportunities, could also impact trading activity. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports journalists or analysts offering strong opinions on the expected goal count could shift the market’s sentiment and price.