TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?

Volume:
$91,298

Cruzeiro wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Cruzeiro wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 10:29 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cruzeiro wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,435
N/A
N/A
$14,560
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cruzeiro wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,266
N/A
N/A
$20,431
Settled
No
kalshi

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,923
N/A
N/A
$7,917
Settled
No
kalshi

Cruzeiro wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,134
N/A
N/A
$1,606
Settled
No
kalshi

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,539
N/A
N/A
$1,539
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants are assessing which team, if any, will secure a decisive win based on specified goal differences.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different winning margins in the Cruzeiro versus Sao Paulo Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 7, 2026. Four distinct outcome scenarios are considered: Cruzeiro winning by more than 2.5 goals, Cruzeiro winning by more than 1.5 goals, Sao Paulo winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Sao Paulo winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The market will resolve to 'Yes' for the specific condition that is met, while all other conditions resolve to 'No'. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different outcomes changes over time, reflected in the price fluctuations. The current volume is $84,608, and the total volume traded on this market is $91,298. This provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely result of the game, all within Kalshi.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action, while this market is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the potential result of the Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo match.

This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo match, as officially recorded by the governing sports authority. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their predicted outcome matches the actual result. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 8, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, and even unexpected news regarding team morale could all shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or analysis predicting a particular outcome could also drive price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the market price, creating opportunities for informed traders.