TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

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40,634

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
kalshi

What is the result of Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?

Volume:
$1,029,803

Cruzeiro

 - Kalshi

Cruzeiro - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 10:28 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cruzeiro

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$489,282
N/A
N/A
$288,182
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sao Paulo

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$371,499
N/A
N/A
$246,408
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169,022
N/A
N/A
$110,143
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Cruzeiro will win its professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game against Sao Paulo. Currently, Kalshi gives Cruzeiro a 74.5% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 19.5%. The market resolves based on the result of the match originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official match result. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve the day after the scheduled match date of October 8, 2026, to allow for any potential delays or rescheduling.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Cruzeiro win, Sao Paulo win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The operator explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its associated entities.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. The current volume is $1,025,675, and the total volume traded to date is $1,029,803. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the likely result of the match, offering insight beyond traditional analysis.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. If a large number of people believe in a particular result, the odds on Kalshi may reflect that more accurately than traditional bookmakers. It's a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new developments and provide a constantly updated assessment of the likely result.

This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo match as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential implications for your position.

Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 8, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage can impact trading activity, causing price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is key to understanding how this market might evolve.