TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 5.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 5.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:23h:05m
$
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Cruzeiro and Bahia. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Cruzeiro vs Bahia professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for November 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks—must exceed the specified threshold. All markets share the same foundational conditions regarding the timing and counting of goals, with each threshold representing an increasingly stringent requirement for resolution. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the league or its governing bodies, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, various total goal counts for the Cruzeiro vs Bahia match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal count of the Cruzeiro vs Bahia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only goals scored during regular play will determine the final outcome for this market. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction matched the actual total goals scored.
Several factors could influence trading in this market before Nov 6, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cruzeiro or Bahia would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions impacting the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about referee assignments or stadium conditions might also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of different goal totals has the potential to move this market.