TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Cruzeiro vs Bahia: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Oct 29, 2026, 9:05 PM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 11:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$0N/A

Cruzeiro wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Cruzeiro wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 03d:07h:11m

Cruzeiro wins by more than 2.5 goals?

17%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 17¢ buys you 588 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $588 | Net Profit: $488 Multiplier: 5.88x | ROI: 488% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cruzeiro wins by more than 2.5 goals

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 7h 11m
Active
kalshi

Cruzeiro wins by more than 1.5 goals

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 7h 11m
Active
kalshi

Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals

N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 7h 11m
Active
kalshi

Bahia wins by more than 2.5 goals

N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 7h 11m
Active
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Cruzeiro and Bahia, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent, with different thresholds defining a successful outcome.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether either Cruzeiro or Bahia wins the match by a specified goal margin. If Cruzeiro wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the market resolves positively for that condition. Similarly, if Bahia wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the market resolves positively for that condition. The match must be the official Brasileiro Serie A game scheduled for November 5, 2026, and resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The outcome is determined solely based on the goal differential, regardless of the overall match result.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Cruzeiro vs Bahia match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $0 and the 24-hour volume is $0. This allows participants to see how other traders are evaluating the likelihood of different outcomes in the match and to understand the market's sentiment. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market's activity, helping traders make informed decisions.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or a strong consensus forming among traders. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines, as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Cruzeiro vs Bahia match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The closer the event gets, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived certainty of the outcome, as traders adjust their positions based on new information and analysis.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Cruzeiro vs Bahia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match as determined by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies for either Cruzeiro or Bahia could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other sources like sports news and analysis, can all contribute to price movements in this market.