TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 12:40 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Cruzeiro EC and São Paulo FC, scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC match originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Cruzeiro EC and São Paulo FC, scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Cruzeiro EC vs. São Paulo FC match originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, reflecting the collective forecast. The market's efficiency depends on the number of participants and the information they bring to bear, and the current price reflects the aggregated assessment of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Cruzeiro vs. São Paulo match, specifically the exact score, will be used to determine the winning shares. Resolution relies on publicly available data to verify the final score and ensure accurate settlement. It’s important to note that the outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, as reported by recognized sports authorities.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Cruzeiro EC or São Paulo FC could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches, tactical adjustments, and even public statements from key players or managers could all contribute to changes in the probabilities reflected in this market. Any development that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths could lead to price movements.