TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Cruz Azul and Juarez, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent during regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Cruz Azul vs Juarez Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered based on the winning margin: Cruz Azul winning by more than 2.5 goals, Cruz Azul winning by more than 1.5 goals, Juarez winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Juarez winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined solely by the score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The event explicitly states that Kalshi, the platform hosting this market, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or a strong narrative surrounding the event. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of the likely outcome of the Cruz Azul vs Juarez match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Cruz Azul vs Juarez match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates the market's expectation, and you can observe how it changes as the event draws nearer.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Cruz Azul vs Juarez match, as determined by official sources. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cruz Azul or Juarez teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also move the market. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could impact trading activity and contract prices leading up to the Oct 18, 2026 resolution of the match.