TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:08 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Cruz Azul will win its Liga MX soccer game against Juarez. Currently, Kalshi gives Cruz Azul a 96.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 3.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Cruz Azul wins within the regular time frame, with final resolution expected by the estimated date of 2026-10-18.
If Cruz Azul wins the Cruz Azul vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Juarez wins the Cruz Azul vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Cruz Azul vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into public perception and potentially identify undervalued or overvalued outcomes. Keep in mind that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different incentives and participant profiles, leading to variations in pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Cruz Azul vs Juarez match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Cruz Azul vs Juarez match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league or organization. The market will settle to 100, representing the winning outcome as determined by the official match results. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements or controversies surrounding either team could also trigger price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader public sentiment towards either team could also cause the market to react and adjust its pricing. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the market’s dynamics.