TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional soccer contest between two clubs will occur, with three distinct outcomes determined by the final score after the standard match duration.
Resolution depends on the match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If either team wins, its market resolves to Yes; a tie resolves the Tie market to Yes. Markets resolve to a fair price if the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours from the original date.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate or that new information hasn’t been fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s pricing. It's important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different incentives and participant bases, leading to potential variations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies, driving the market towards a fair assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liga de Expansión MX match between Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Zacatecas. Any official postponement or cancellation of the match will be reflected in the market’s resolution process, with adjustments made to ensure a fair and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the latest updates regarding the match schedule and results.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Cruz Azul Hidalgo or Zacatecas could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue or significant pre-match analysis from sports commentators could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in market perception, potentially causing price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market.