TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Tlaxcala. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game. It reflects the competitive nature and scoring trends typical in professional soccer leagues.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Cruz Azul Hidalgo versus Tlaxcala professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks—must exceed the specified threshold. All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The resolution solely depends on the final goal count within regular time, with no influence from post-match proceedings. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded, and inaccurate ones result in losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Cruz Azul Hidalgo versus Tlaxcala match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored by both teams during regulation time will determine the winning contract. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be counted. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Cruz Azul Hidalgo or Tlaxcala would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected scoring rate. Additionally, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' form or tactical approaches could sway traders' opinions and affect the odds. Unexpected lineup announcements close to kickoff could also trigger volatility in this market.