TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga de Expansión MX game between Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Tlaxcala FC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Liga de Expansión MX game between Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Tlaxcala FC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals betting their own capital. Therefore, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying information sources, risk assessments, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome of the match. It’s always wise to compare both to gain a broader understanding.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible halftime outcome—Cruz Azul leading, Tlaxcala leading, or a tie—and the price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of each share represents the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood, and the sum of all share prices must always equal 1. The total volume traded provides insight into the market’s confidence in each result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the halftime result—which team is leading, or if it’s a tie—will be determined based on official match data. The platform will verify the result against trusted sports news sources and official league standings to ensure accuracy. The outcome of this market will then be finalized, and shares will be settled accordingly, reflecting the confirmed halftime score.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact traders’ perceptions of each team’s chances. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a shift in momentum could also lead to significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.