TOTAL VOLUME:

$155.1b

24H VOL:

$337,672,170

24H TRANSACTIONS:

3,002,125,488

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,014,360,784

421,272

Markets across

40,138

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,437

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Croatia vs. Spain - Halftime Result
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Croatia vs Spain?

Volume:
$62,854

Croatia

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 6:46 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Croatia

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

HRV

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$7,920
$904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ESP

3%
56%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
$81
$4,137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spain

0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,661
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

19%
Yes 19¢No 81¢
—
$80
$242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the halftime result of a soccer match between Croatia and Spain. Markets exist to predict whether Croatia, Spain, or a draw will be the leading outcome at the midpoint of the game, including stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical descriptions and resolution criteria, relying on the same data hierarchy for settlement.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the leading team (or draw) at the end of the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, Croatia/Spain leading markets resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, contingent on data availability as described above.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Croatia and Spain, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Predict

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Croatia and Spain, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this market tracks predictions regarding which team will be leading at halftime in the Croatia versus Spain match. Currently, there is a consensus view forming, though prices vary between the platforms. The aggregated volume across both venues is $62,853, with $62,377 traded in the last 24 hours. This dashboard provides a unified view of the probabilities as expressed by traders on both Polymarket and Predict, offering a comprehensive look at sentiment surrounding the Croatia vs. Spain halftime result market. The current probabilities reflect expectations for the first half of the game.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when there's significant public interest and volume. However, sportsbooks may react faster to breaking news, such as injuries, while this market relies on traders incorporating that information. Both offer valuable insights, but prediction markets can sometimes offer a more collective intelligence view.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to variations in trader composition, liquidity, and perceived information advantages. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and analytical approaches, leading to distinct price discovery processes. For example, Polymarket currently favors Croatia leading at halftime at an implied probability, while Predict leans toward Spain leading at halftime. These discrepancies can also arise from differing trading fees or platform-specific rules influencing market dynamics. The volume of trading on each platform also plays a role, with higher volume generally indicating greater price stability and accuracy.