TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Croatia vs. Spain - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Croatia vs Spain?

Volume:
$3,239

Croatia

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 6:53 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Croatia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

HRV

20%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
—
$10,285
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ESP

80%
Yes 80¢No 20¢
—
$3
$324
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spain

0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$103
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Croatia and Spain. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria regarding the timeframe (first 90 minutes + stoppage time) and the definition of 'first to score', as well as a consistent fallback data source hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, followed by Flashscore and Sofascore.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the winner.
  • If neither team scores within the specified timeframe, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official statistics are available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion, potentially utilizing fallback data sources if necessary.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Croatia and Spain, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Croatia and Spain, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of either Croatia or Spain scoring the first goal in their match. Currently, the aggregated view across these platforms indicates a strong consensus, with a combined volume of $3,239. This allows users to see how the collective wisdom of prediction market traders assesses the likelihood of each team taking an early lead. The Croatia vs. Spain first goal market provides a dynamic look at expectations as new information becomes available, offering a unique perspective compared to traditional betting odds. This is a great way to gauge sentiment around the game.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the insights of numerous individual traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets are sensitive to real-time news, sentiment shifts, and even subtle signals that might not be immediately factored into sportsbook lines. The current volume on this market is $3,239, suggesting active trading and potentially a different assessment of probabilities than you might find elsewhere.