TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Croatia vs. Spain
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Croatia vs Spain?

Volume:
$31,687,836

Spain

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Spain

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,174,487
N/A
N/A
$6,109,998
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,832,038
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ESP

View
99%
20%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$80,736
$532,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

HRV

View
1%
8%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$7,162
$224,642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Croatia

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,258,952
N/A
N/A
$3,719,760
Settled
No
polymarket

Croatia

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,710,909
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
13%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$7,114
$52,253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,588,628
N/A
N/A
$1,032,086
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Croatia vs. Spain)

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$313,224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the UEFA Nations League match between Croatia and Spain scheduled for October 6, 2026. Markets ask whether Croatia or Spain will win, or if the game will end in a draw, all within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Resolution logic differs for a canceled game, with Kalshi exhibiting illogical behavior.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket, as Kalshi's resolution logic for a canceled game is nonsensical. Avoid Kalshi markets for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
  • Kalshi: If Croatia wins the game, the market resolves to Yes. If Spain wins the game, the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the game, the market resolves to Yes. This applies even if the game is canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Croatia and Spain.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Croatia vs Spain UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Croatia market occurs if Croatia wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Spain resolves if Spain secures a victory in the same timeframe. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider the result after normal time and do not account for outcomes determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Croatia and Spain.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Croatia vs. Spain match from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $31,687,836, with $28,374,960 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of the likely outcome, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on both Polymarket and Kalshi. It allows you to compare probabilities and see how the market is evolving as new information becomes available. This is a great way to gauge expectations for the match.

Prediction market odds often offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the aggregated predictions of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, particularly when public sentiment deviates from expert consensus. Sportsbooks may also incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, whereas prediction markets generally have lower transaction costs. Monitoring both prediction markets and sportsbooks can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcomes for the Croatia vs. Spain match.