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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 3, 3:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a UEFA Nations League game between Croatia and England. Resolution depends on which team scores more goals in the second half, including stoppage time, or if the scores are tied. Cancellation of the game results in a draw.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Croatia and England, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia score more goals than England in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Croatia and England score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "England" if England score more goals than Croatia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Croatia and England, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia score more goals than England in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Croatia and England score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "England" if England score more goals than Croatia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and react to news faster than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as changes in referee assignments, could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, potentially driven by social media or expert analysis, could lead to increased trading volume and price movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the predicted outcome.