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411,051
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Closed: Oct 3, 2:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Croatia and England, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "England" if England are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Croatia and England, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "England" if England are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often providing a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which can skew the probabilities. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs, leading to a potentially more objective assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring first. While sportsbook odds may initially differ, they often converge with prediction market prices as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher demand driving up the price and indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective belief of all traders on the platform regarding which team is most likely to score the first goal in the Croatia vs. England match. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Croatia vs. England match. Any goals scored during regular play, extra time, or penalty shootouts will be considered. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Croatia or England would likely cause significant movement. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also shift the probabilities. Even broader factors, like weather forecasts or public sentiment shifts following pre-match analysis, could play a role. Unexpected news or developments related to team morale or internal conflicts could also impact trading activity and influence the price of this market.