TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Croatia and England, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Croatia vs. England match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Croatia and England, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Croatia vs. England match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – and as the event draws closer, the odds on Predict may converge with, or diverge from, sportsbook lines depending on how that information is interpreted by bettors and market participants. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible exact score. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that if many traders believe a particular score is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. The platform doesn’t impose any specific odds; they emerge organically from the trading activity of users.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Croatia vs. England match, as officially recorded by the governing football association, will determine the winning contract. Any disputes regarding the official score will be resolved using widely accepted sources of sports data. Traders who correctly predicted the exact score will receive a payout based on the closing price of their chosen contract on Predict at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Croatia or England would likely cause shifts in the probabilities. Tactical announcements from the managers, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match media coverage impacting team morale, could also move the market. As the kickoff approaches, even minor updates can lead to substantial changes in the implied probabilities on Predict.