TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 8:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event evaluates the margin of victory in the same soccer match, focusing on whether one team wins by a sufficient number of goals. The result hinges on the difference in scores between Criciuma and Ponte Preta.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Criciuma or Ponte Preta wins the match. The game is the same Criciuma vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The first two markets require Criciuma to win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, respectively, to resolve to Yes. The latter two markets require Ponte Preta to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, respectively, to resolve to Yes. If the winning margin does not exceed the specified threshold, the market resolves to No. As with the total goals event, Kalshi disclaims official affiliation with the league, and trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Criciuma vs Ponte Preta match as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payouts once the resolution process is complete. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant shifts in team form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders or public figures could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring sports news, team announcements, and the trading activity on Kalshi will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.