TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 8:38 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a football match between two teams in a league competition. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee. This determines the outcome of a specific betting condition related to the match.
If Criciuma and America FC both score a goal in the Criciuma vs America FC Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It’s common to see this market incorporate news and insights faster than traditional odds, though sportsbook odds remain a valuable point of comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Criciuma vs America FC match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting 'Yes' (both teams score), the price increases, and vice-versa for 'No'. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Criciuma and America FC score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a reputable sports data provider will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then settle based on whether both teams found the net, with payouts distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Criciuma or America FC would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before kickoff could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity itself – a large influx of volume on one side of the market – could drive price changes.