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$1,869,293,526

411,051

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40,408

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4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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63%

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CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras?

Total volume:
$550
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$7,719
1,040%
Open interest:
$406
1,926%

Palmeiras

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 06d:02h:21m

Palmeiras wins

38%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 38¢ buys you 263 shares | Odds: 38% Total Payout: $263 | Net Profit: $163 Multiplier: 2.63x | ROI: 163% APY not meaningful 6 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Palmeiras

Trade
38%
Yes 38¢No 64¢
2¢
N/A
$385
0%
N/A
$371
6d 2h 21m
Active
polymarket

SE Palmeiras

Trade
37%
9%
Yes 38¢No 64¢
2¢
$3,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 23h 21m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
38%
Yes 38¢No 64¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

CR Vasco da Gama

Trade
35%
10%
Yes 36¢No 67¢
3¢
$2,701
$127
0%
N/A
N/A
5d 23h 21m
Active
kalshi

Vasco da Gama

Trade
30%
Yes 35¢No 66¢
1¢
N/A
$38
0%
N/A
$35
6d 2h 21m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
33.5%
Yes 35.5¢No 66.5¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

Draw (CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras)

Trade
28%
6%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
$1,875
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 23h 21m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6d 2h 21m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Copa do Brasil soccer match between CR Vasco da Gama and SE Palmeiras scheduled for November 8, 2026. Markets exist for Vasco da Gama winning, Palmeiras winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellations by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi does not mention cancellation, implying the market relies on the game being played.Hero tip: Consider the risk of cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market may remain open or resolve in an unpredictable manner if the game doesn't occur. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolution is based on the official match result within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If canceled with no make-up game, resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of data sources (official stats, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on the official match result within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling. Implies the game must be played for resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa do Brasil game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between CR Vasco da Gama and SE Palmeiras.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras professional Copa do Brasil soccer game scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). If Vasco da Gama wins, the "Vasco da Gama" market resolves to Yes. If Palmeiras wins, the "Palmeiras" market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Vasco da Gama vs. Palmeiras match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus leaning toward one result, though opinions differ between venues. The current volume across both platforms is $550, with $550 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive view of what traders believe will happen in the match, combining insights from different prediction markets into a single, easily digestible format. The dashboard provides a real-time assessment of the evolving probabilities as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, incorporating a margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals betting their own capital, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially have different odds, they often adjust as more bets come in, potentially converging with the prediction market prices. Discrepancies can also arise due to differing levels of information and analytical approaches used by each.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume on one platform tends to have more stable and potentially more accurate pricing. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08? at 37.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Palmeiras wins at 38.0%, illustrating these differing views.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Vasco da Gama vs. Palmeiras match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, official result of the match. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants in this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either CR Vasco da Gama or SE Palmeiras would likely shift probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. Major news regarding team tactics or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, any significant external factors, like adverse weather conditions affecting the match, might cause movement in the market as traders reassess the likely outcome.