TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC
Volume:
$190,171
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Brazilian Série A match between CR Vasco da Gama and Fluminense FC scheduled for March 18, 2026. Markets span total goals over/under thresholds (Kalshi) and match outcome predictions including draw, Fluminense win, and Vasco win (Polymarket). All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket differ fundamentally in scope and resolution logic. Kalshi offers four markets all measuring total goals scored (over/under thresholds: 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), while Polymarket offers three markets measuring match outcome (draw, Fluminense win, Vasco win). The platforms resolve on entirely different dimensions of the same event.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on goal volume; if you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on match result. A 2-0 Fluminense win resolves YES on Polymarket (Fluminense win) but may resolve differently on Kalshi depending on which goal-threshold market you chose. Do not assume your Kalshi and Polymarket positions hedge each other—they measure different outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves four separate over/under markets on total goals scored by both teams combined (thresholds: 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 goals). Each market resolves YES if the combined goal total exceeds its threshold, NO otherwise. Resolution is based on 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)'.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves three separate outcome markets: draw (YES if match ends level), Fluminense win (YES if Fluminense scores more), and Vasco win (YES if Vasco scores more). Each resolves based on 'the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time' and uses official CBF statistics as primary source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.