TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:32 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CR Vasco da Gama and CA Boca Juniors, scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Boca Juniors" if CA Boca Juniors are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CR Vasco da Gama and CA Boca Juniors, scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Boca Juniors" if CA Boca Juniors are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by user predictions, can offer a different perspective, potentially identifying discrepancies or undervalued probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances than traditional sportsbooks, as traders continuously update their assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – in this case, either Vasco da Gama or Boca Juniors scoring first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing adjusts constantly based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to score in the Vasco da Gama vs Boca Juniors match will determine the winning outcome. If no team scores, the market will resolve as 'No Score'. The resolution will be based on official match data and sources, ensuring an accurate and transparent result. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score and resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Vasco da Gama or Boca Juniors would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match interviews with coaches, could shift the perceived probabilities. Overall, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.