TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Brazilian Série A football match between CR Vasco da Gama and Botafogo FR scheduled for April 4, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/loss/draw) on Polymarket and total goals over/under thresholds on Kalshi, all measuring the same 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across both platforms measure the same match event (Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo FR on 2026-04-04), the same time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties), and reference the same primary source (CBF official statistics with credible reporting fallback).
Primary resolution logic:
CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) official match statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sourcesCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome (Vasco win, Botafogo win, or draw) determined by goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time only
- Total goals counted for Kalshi markets are the sum of all goals by both teams in the same 90-minute plus stoppage time window
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all resolution calculations
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game: Polymarket outcome markets (Vasco win, Botafogo win) resolve No; Polymarket draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi goal markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the match is played. No early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Polymarket win/loss markets resolve No; Polymarket draw resolves Yes. Kalshi goal markets resolve No (no match means no goals scored).
- Source Delay: If CBF does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match end, resolution uses consensus from credible sports reporting (e.g., ESPN, official league sources, major news outlets).
- Penalty Shootout: If match goes to penalties after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the result at the end of regular time (including stoppage) is used; penalty outcome is ignored.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official CBF statistics are the target; if unavailable within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets settle within 24 hours of match completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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