TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:02h:45m
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In the upcoming match between CR Flamengo and Grêmio FBPA, scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Flamengo" if CR Flamengo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CR Flamengo and Grêmio FBPA, scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CR Flamengo" if CR Flamengo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows traders to adjust probabilities dynamically as new information emerges. This can sometimes lead to differences in implied probabilities, with prediction markets potentially offering a more accurate forecast, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, reflecting a growing expectation that they will score first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of Grêmio FBPA scoring first is 80.5%, indicating strong market confidence in their chances.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—CR Flamengo or Grêmio FBPA—scores the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Any goals scored during regular play, or any added time, will be considered for determining the first team to score.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CR Flamengo or Grêmio FBPA would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting playing style, could contribute to movement. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from respected football commentators could sway opinions and affect trading volume.